Doubts

Mock exam - Q1 c)

Mock exam - Q1 c)

by Justin Lucas Wilhelm -
Number of replies: 3

Hello Julio,
I am confused about the duration approximation, especially your solution for Q1 - c.
The formula given in the formula sheet is:


Which I believe this is correct, as modified duration behaves much like an “elasticity” of the bond’s price with respect to its yield—with one key distinction: we treat changes in yield as absolute decimal changes (i.e., changes in percentage points), rather than proportional changes in the yield itself.

However, the solution presented uses an approach that does not make sense to me. First, it employs the normal Macaulay duration (1.95) instead of the modified duration (1.81). Then it treats the absolute price change (+5) as if it were the percentage price change (+5.26 %).

I believe the correct approach would reflect a 2.9 percentage‐point decrease in yield, yielding a final YTM of approximately 4.89 %.

The fact that their result is close to the “true” answer is purely coincidental—here, +5 € is numerically similar to +5.26 %. Under different circumstances (other prices or durations), that coincidence would disappear and lead to a larger discrepancy.


In reply to Justin Lucas Wilhelm

Re: Mock exam - Q1 c)

by Julian Hildebrandt -

Hello Julio,

touching on Justin’s forum entry, could you please clarify when we should use the absolute yield change formula versus the percentage (relative) change formula?

  
Specifically, in what contexts does it make sense to work with changes in yield as absolute decimal changes compared to using yield changes in proportional terms?

Thank you!


In reply to Julian Hildebrandt

Re: Mock exam - Q1 c)

by Julio Crego -
For this course: You need to use modified if the question says so and Macaulay otherwise.

(More advanced, only for those interested)

Both approaches are the same. They are linear approximations around the value of a zero increment. Macaulay approximates the price of the bond and modified the logarithm of the price.

If the increment is close to 0%, the modified duration is better. If the increment is close to 0 euros, the Macaulay is the best. In other words, for high yields, modified will be more accurate, and for low yields, Macaulay will be more accurate

@Justin the approximation using both approaches will be very bad if we try big yield increments.
In reply to Julio Crego

Re: Mock exam - Q1 c)

by Justin Lucas Wilhelm -
Thank you for the clarification.
I realized that I had been using an older version of the formula sheet, which didn’t include the Macaulay duration approximation.
However, your explanation and the solution used in the mock exam now make perfect sense to me.